Free-agency talk is premature without a CBA in place

Tayshaun Prince (right) and many others are set to become free agents, but until a new CBA is in place, any talk about specific free-agent targets is premature (Gary W. Green, Orlando Sentinel)

I received a question from a reader via Twitter the other day.

“Do you think the Magic will be interested in Tayshaun Prince?” the reader asked me. “And what do you think his price range will be?”

That would be a great question for a normal offseason.

But for better or worse, this is not a normal offseason. Not even close.

The current collective bargaining agreement will expire on July 1, and right now, the owners and the players’ union are far, far away from reaching a deal.

And until that agreement is reached and then ratified by the players, no one knows what the new CBA will look like.

How will the salary cap be structured in future seasons? Will there be a hard cap? Will exceptions to the cap even exist?

Those are only a few of the questions that need to be answered before the Magic can develop a coherent strategy for free agency.

Indeed, the talks between the owners and the union might drag on and on. And, remember: The free-agency period won’t begin until after a new CBA is ratified.

So it could be a long, frustrating summer for fans across the league.

Magic fans understandably want to know what moves the team will make after the team lost in the playoffs’ first round.

No wonder someone would ask about Prince, who, in any normal year, could help Orlando with his defense, scoring ability and experience as long as he’s injury-free.

Normally, the free-agency period would start in July, and the speculation machine already would be humming along — and rightly so.

This year, however, fans, players and teams may have to wait until September, October or even longer.

And with a new CBA a long way away, any talk about the specific free agents the Magic might persue is premature.

Follow Josh Robbins on Twitter at @JoshuaBRobbins and e-mail him at jrobbins@orlandosentinel.com. Subscribe to our Orlando Magic newsletter at OrlandoSentinel.com/joinus.

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Orlando Magic Free-Agency Rumors, Day Six: J.J. Redick Likely to Remain in Orlando

Orlando Pinstriped Post Photo / Bruce Maddox

Orlando Pinstriped Post Photo / Bruce Maddox

After almost a week of not hearing anything about where restricted free agent shooting guard J.J. Redick might wind up, three reports today paint the Orlando Magic as favorites to retain his services.

From Adrian Wojnarowski and Marc J. Spears of Yahoo! Sports:

Restricted free-agent guard J.J. Redick is drawing interest from the New York Knicks and Chicago Bulls, but the Orlando Magic are still favored to keep him, league sources said.

Last week, Wojnarowski and Spears listed the Boston Celtics among the teams interested in Redick as well.

Separate reports from Josh Robbins and Tim Povtak quote Magic coach Stan Van Gundy, a huge fan of Redick, as saying, “our intention is to match” with regard to Redick. More from Van Gundy, as Robbins quoted him:

“Now, if he gets a max offer — million a year — I don’t know,” Van Gundy added, a smile on his face. “If somebody gives him, you know, .8 million, he won’t take it. So, somewhere in-between there is the number. But we go in with the intention that we’re going to match.”

I’ve long maintained that the Magic will keep Redick with a long-term deal, but likely by matching another team’s offer, rather than signing him to an extension. GM Otis Smith is a fan of letting the market determine free agents’ value.

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Orlando Magic Free-Agency Rumors, Day Two: Magic Turn Attention to C.J. Watson after Steve Blake Signs with the Lakers

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Marcio Jose Sanchez – AP

Perhaps the Orlando Magic’s patient approach to the free-agency period worked against them in one instance, as backup point guard target Steve Blake has reached a four-year deal to sign with the L.A. Lakers. With Blake no longer available, Alex Kennedy says the Magic “are expected to zero in on C.J. Watson,” a restricted free agent, to fill their backup point guard role.

No word on what they plan to offer Watson, but my speculation is that it might take the full mid-level exception to pry him from the Warriors.

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The Magic face complicated free-agency decisions

The Magic like Matt Barnes, but the team's limited money to spend in free agency and the luxury tax might make it tough for the team to re-sign him (Photo by Gary W. Green, Orlando Sentinel)

Frustrated by the Orlando Magic’s seeming inactivity on the free-agent front?

Well, understand this: There are reasons why the Magic have moved slowly so far.

And those reasons have everything to do with their salary-cap situation.

Already well over the projected salary cap for the 2010-11 season, the Magic will have to parcel out their available exceptions wisely as they attempt to re-sign J.J. Redick and Matt Barnes and add depth at point guard behind starter Jameer Nelson.

It will be critical for the Magic to try to spend as little money as possible on each player, because the cap leaves the team with limited resources to work with and because the team will have to pay another substantial luxury-tax penalty next season.

Waiting for the market to settle might help prevent the Magic from overpaying for some of their own players.

Because the Magic are over the cap, the team has the following exceptions to work with in the days and weeks ahead. Keep in mind that none of the exceptions can be combined:

Bird exception: This applies only to restricted free agent J.J. Redick. Since Redick played for Orlando for the prior three consecutive seasons, the Magic can use this exception to pay Redick up to a maximum salary.

Non-Bird exception: This applies only to Barnes and Jason Williams, because they played for Orlando for only the prior season. Under this exception, the Magic can pay Barnes and Williams a salary up to the greater of (a) 120 percent of their salary for last season or (b) up to 120 percent of their applicable minimum salary under the collective bargaining agreement.

Since Barnes made .6 million last season, the Magic can use this exception to pay Barnes up to .92 million in 2010-11.

Since Williams’ minimum salary for the upcoming season would be ,352,181, the Magic can use this exception to pay him up to ,622,617 next season.

Midlevel exception: The money teams can spend on the midlevel exception will be announced on Wednesday by the league, but its value is expected to be around .5 million for next season. This money can be divided among multiple free agents. Any player can receive this exception, including a team’s own free agent. So, all or part of this amount could be used for Barnes.

Biannual exception: The Magic can use this exception to sign a player or players to one- or two-year contracts. But the total salary for next season cannot exceed .08 million.

Minimum salary exception: The Magic can fill any roster spots by signing players to the minimum salaries outlined by the collective bargaining agreement.

So, now that we know what the Magic have to work with, let’s discuss how the Magic can approach each player:

Redick: As stated above, the Magic can use the Bird exception to pay Redick anything up to a maximum salary. Of course, Redick isn’t a max-salary player. Still, the Magic have the right to match any offer that comes his way.

Barnes: Barnes’ case is the most complicated of all. The Magic’s biggest nightmare is if a team offers Barnes something far above the .92 million per year the Magic can spend using the non-Bird exception. If that happens, Orlando could use all or part of the midlevel exception to re-sign Barnes. But using the midlevel exception would leave less money for the Magic to land a free-agent point guard such as C.J. Watson to serve as Nelson’s backup.

Williams: The Magic could use the non-Bird exception to pay Williams up to ,622,617 next season. Or the team can use the biannual exception or even part of the midlevel exception on Williams.

All that said, none of these players’ individual situations can be viewed in a vacuum.

Let’s remember that the Magic will be well into the luxury tax next year. The Magic will have to pay a penalty for every they spend over the tax threshold.

The tax might make it financially unpalatable for Orlando to re-sign Redick and Barnes if both receive rich offers from other teams.

Of course, the Magic still could engineer sign-and-trade deal to acquire a marquee free agent. But to pull off a coup like that, Orlando would have to find a team willing to take Vince Carter or perhaps a combination of Brandon Bass, Marcin Gortat and Mickael Pietrus.

Thank you to Larry Coon for his help dissecting salary-cap rules. Follow Josh Robbins on Twitter at @JoshuaBRobbins and e-mail him at jrobbins@orlandosentinel.com. Subscribe to our Orlando Magic newsletter at OrlandoSentinel.com/joinus.

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Orlando Magic Free-Agency Rumors, Day 2: Sign-and-Trade for Carlos Boozer Unlikely; Team Expresses Interest in C.J. Watson

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Harry How – Getty Images

A few quick Orlando Magic updates as Day 2 of NBA free agency kicks off…

  • Tony Dutt, who represents Magic power forwards Brandon Bass and Rashard Lewis, debunked a rumor that Orlando had a sign-and-trade deal in place with the Utah Jazz to obtain Carlos Boozer.

  • To no one’s surprise, the Magic have called restricted free agent point guard C.J. Watson to register their interest, according to Alex Kennedy, who also says the Magic “will wait several days before beginning serious talks with any players.” That second bit aligns with what GM Otis Smith told John Denton yesterday about the team “let[ting] the market re-set” before making any moves

  • UPDATE: Chris Tomasson’s sources say the Magic are one of the teams showing the “strongest interest” in free-agent point guard Steve Blake.

You can follow all today’s action from around the league using SBNation.com’s free-agency StoryStreamTM.

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Orlando Magic Free-Agency Rumors, Day One: Carlos Boozer’s Name Keeps Popping Up

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Phelan M. Ebenhack – AP

As the first day of NBA free agency grinds along, Utah Jazz power forward Carlos Boozer has emerged as the name most associated with the Orlando Magic. Since my first Boozer update this morning, Utah’s The Deseret News called the Magic “a legitimate contender” for Boozer’s services, and Chad Ford has said, “don’t be surprised to see Boozer heading to a team like the Orlando Magic.”

Ford also dishes on whom the Magic have made available:

The Magic have been offering Marcin Gortat, Brandon Bass, the expiring contract of Vince Carter to interested teams. The Jazz may also have interest in a sign-and-trade for J.J. Redick. They still need a shooter to replace Kyle Korver.

It’s important to note that nothing regarding Boozer, or any other player, is imminent, at least as far as the Magic are concerned. But the breadth of sources picking up on their association with him appears to indicate that there’s interest on their end.

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